Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.042434 0.046060 0.049711 0.053657 0.057794 0.061996 0.066583
2025-10-05 0.035908 0.041205 0.046718 0.052858 0.059482 0.066390 0.074117
2025-10-12 0.031627 0.038157 0.045153 0.053148 0.061980 0.071387 0.082113
2025-10-19 0.028513 0.036005 0.044242 0.053871 0.064721 0.076479 0.090096
2025-10-26 0.025963 0.034209 0.043494 0.054568 0.067265 0.081230 0.097616
2025-11-02 0.022388 0.030921 0.040782 0.052794 0.066818 0.082477 0.101091
2025-11-09 0.020018 0.028864 0.039329 0.052317 0.067716 0.085130 0.106057
2025-11-16 0.018065 0.027158 0.038158 0.052050 0.068754 0.087862 0.111046
2025-11-23 0.017214 0.026761 0.038516 0.053562 0.071851 0.092953 0.118740
2025-11-30 0.016300 0.026205 0.038616 0.054712 0.074481 0.097476 0.125766
2025-12-07 0.015285 0.025439 0.038392 0.055412 0.076530 0.101292 0.131955
2025-12-14 0.014138 0.024415 0.037774 0.055565 0.077872 0.104237 0.137101
2025-12-21 0.013500 0.024078 0.038052 0.056878 0.080688 0.109020 0.144523
2025-12-28 0.012096 0.022571 0.036721 0.056084 0.080860 0.110600 0.148132
2026-01-04 0.011221 0.021765 0.036281 0.056403 0.082395 0.113818 0.153698
2026-01-11 0.010572 0.021248 0.036199 0.057161 0.084466 0.117680 0.160038
2026-01-18 0.009965 0.020750 0.036111 0.057889 0.086484 0.121472 0.166298
2026-01-25 0.008603 0.018976 0.034154 0.056049 0.085156 0.121091 0.167452
2026-02-01 0.007760 0.017964 0.033227 0.055555 0.085527 0.122790 0.171125
2026-02-08 0.007049 0.017110 0.032486 0.055278 0.086152 0.124788 0.175153
2026-02-15 0.006879 0.017166 0.033081 0.056848 0.089209 0.129852 0.182978
2026-02-22 0.006624 0.017052 0.033410 0.058042 0.091768 0.134292 0.190044
2026-03-01 0.006269 0.016736 0.033416 0.058769 0.093701 0.137940 0.196132